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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Sun 3 May 2026

15:30

Venue

Old Trafford

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Manchester United Win

45%

Manchester United

2.22

26%

Draw

3.90

29%

Liverpool

3.41

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.6%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

1 – 0

7.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.74

Manchester United xG

Total xG

3.11

1.38

Liverpool xG

45%
26%
29%
Manchester UnitedDrawLiverpool

2.22

45%

Home win

3.90

26%

Draw

3.41

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.59

37%

BTTS No

2.68

Clean Sheet

25%

Manchester United

3.96

18%

Liverpool

5.69

Win to Nil

11%

Manchester United

8.78

5%

Liverpool

19.39

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.4 6.1 4.2 1.9 0.7 0.2
1 7.7 10.6 7.3 3.3 1.2 0.3
2 6.7 9.2 6.3 2.9 1.0 0.3
3 3.9 5.4 3.7 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 1.7 2.3 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.739
λ Away (xG) 1.375
Total xG 3.114
League avg home goals 1.441
League avg away goals 1.225
Manchester United attack strength 1.201
Manchester United defence strength 1.019
Liverpool attack strength 1.102
Liverpool defence strength 1.005
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 72