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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Mon 13 Apr 2026

20:00

Venue

Old Trafford

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Manchester United Win

60%

Manchester United

1.67

24%

Draw

4.12

16%

Leeds

6.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

2 – 1

10.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.01

Manchester United xG

Total xG

2.99

0.98

Leeds xG

60%
24%
16%
Manchester UnitedDrawLeeds

1.67

60%

Home win

4.12

24%

Draw

6.25

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.80

44%

BTTS No

2.25

Clean Sheet

38%

Manchester United

2.66

13%

Leeds

7.48

Win to Nil

22%

Manchester United

4.45

2%

Leeds

46.77

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 4.9 2.4 0.8 0.2
1 10.1 9.9 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.2 10.0 4.9 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 6.8 6.7 3.3 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 3.4 3.4 1.6 0.5 0.1
5 1.4 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.012
λ Away (xG) 0.977
Total xG 2.989
League avg home goals 1.386
League avg away goals 1.255
Manchester United attack strength 1.288
Manchester United defence strength 0.935
Leeds attack strength 0.833
Leeds defence strength 1.126
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 31