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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Chelsea Win
30%
3.31
23%
4.26
46%
2.16
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.7%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 2
9.3%
Away win
0 – 1
7.9%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.36
Manchester United xG
Total xG
3.09
1.73
Chelsea xG
Manchester UnitedDrawChelsea
3.31
30%
Home win
4.26
23%
Draw
2.16
46%
Away win
Goals Markets
81%
Over 1.5
1.23
19%
Under 1.5
5.26
60%
Over 2.5
1.67
40%
Under 2.5
2.50
37%
Over 3.5
2.70
63%
Under 3.5
1.59
20%
Over 4.5
5.00
80%
Under 4.5
1.25
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
61%
BTTS Yes
1.63
39%
BTTS No
2.58
Clean Sheet
18%
5.65
26%
3.89
Win to Nil
5%
18.70
12%
8.40
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.5 | 7.9 | 6.8 | 3.9 | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| 1 | 6.2 | 10.7 | 9.3 | 5.3 | 2.3 | 0.8 |
| 2 | 4.2 | 7.3 | 6.3 | 3.6 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 1.9 | 3.3 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.359
λ Away (xG)
1.732
Total xG
3.091
League avg home goals
1.368
League avg away goals
1.187
Manchester United attack strength
0.985
Manchester United defence strength
1.102
Chelsea attack strength
1.324
Chelsea defence strength
1.009
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
42 / 42