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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Mon 15 Dec 2025

20:00

Venue

Old Trafford

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Manchester United Win

55%

Manchester United

1.81

20%

Draw

4.94

25%

Bournemouth

4.07

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.1%

Draw

3 – 1

6.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.23

Manchester United xG

Total xG

3.68

1.45

Bournemouth xG

55%
20%
25%
Manchester UnitedDrawBournemouth

1.81

55%

Home win

4.94

20%

Draw

4.07

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

71%

Over 2.5

1.41

29%

Under 2.5

3.45

50%

Over 3.5

2.00

50%

Under 3.5

2.00

31%

Over 4.5

3.23

69%

Under 4.5

1.45

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

68%

BTTS Yes

1.46

32%

BTTS No

3.17

Clean Sheet

23%

Manchester United

4.27

11%

Bournemouth

9.33

Win to Nil

13%

Manchester United

7.73

3%

Bournemouth

38.01

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.5 3.6 2.6 1.3 0.5 0.1
1 5.6 8.1 5.9 2.9 1.0 0.3
2 6.3 9.1 6.6 3.2 1.2 0.3
3 4.7 6.8 4.9 2.4 0.9 0.2
4 2.6 3.8 2.7 1.3 0.5 0.1
5 1.2 1.7 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.233
λ Away (xG) 1.451
Total xG 3.684
League avg home goals 1.553
League avg away goals 1.275
Manchester United attack strength 1.031
Manchester United defence strength 0.985
Bournemouth attack strength 1.156
Bournemouth defence strength 1.394
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53