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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Fri 2 May 2025

20:00

Venue

Etihad Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Manchester City Win

56%

Manchester City

1.78

21%

Draw

4.74

23%

Wolves

4.40

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.4%

Draw

2 – 0

7.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.07

Manchester City xG

Total xG

3.32

1.25

Wolves xG

56%
21%
23%
Manchester CityDrawWolves

1.78

56%

Home win

4.74

21%

Draw

4.40

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.60

38%

BTTS No

2.66

Clean Sheet

29%

Manchester City

3.50

13%

Wolves

7.92

Win to Nil

16%

Manchester City

6.22

3%

Wolves

34.90

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.6 4.5 2.8 1.2 0.4 0.1
1 7.5 9.4 5.9 2.4 0.8 0.2
2 7.7 9.7 6.1 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 5.3 6.7 4.2 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 2.8 3.5 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 1.1 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.070
λ Away (xG) 1.252
Total xG 3.322
League avg home goals 1.479
League avg away goals 1.414
Manchester City attack strength 1.355
Manchester City defence strength 0.934
Wolves attack strength 0.948
Wolves defence strength 1.032
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 72