Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sun 15 Dec 2024

16:30

Venue

Etihad Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Manchester City Win

51%

Manchester City

1.96

27%

Draw

3.75

22%

Manchester United

4.49

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.74

Manchester City xG

Total xG

2.83

1.09

Manchester United xG

51%
27%
22%
Manchester CityDrawManchester United

1.96

51%

Home win

3.75

27%

Draw

4.49

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.78

44%

BTTS No

2.29

Clean Sheet

34%

Manchester City

2.98

18%

Manchester United

5.70

Win to Nil

17%

Manchester City

5.83

4%

Manchester United

25.58

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9 6.4 3.5 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 10.3 11.2 6.1 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.9 9.7 5.3 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 5.2 5.6 3.1 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.3 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.1
5 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.740
λ Away (xG) 1.091
Total xG 2.831
League avg home goals 1.644
League avg away goals 1.414
Manchester City attack strength 1.186
Manchester City defence strength 1.027
Manchester United attack strength 0.751
Manchester United defence strength 0.892
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53