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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Wed 11 Feb 2026

19:30

Venue

Etihad Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Manchester City Win

64%

Manchester City

1.57

24%

Draw

4.10

12%

Fulham

8.53

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

11.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.09

Manchester City xG

Total xG

2.94

0.84

Fulham xG

64%
24%
12%
Manchester CityDrawFulham

1.57

64%

Home win

4.10

24%

Draw

8.53

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.10

Clean Sheet

43%

Manchester City

2.33

12%

Fulham

8.09

Win to Nil

27%

Manchester City

3.64

1%

Fulham

68.99

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.3 4.5 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 11.1 9.4 4.0 1.1 0.2
2 11.6 9.8 4.1 1.2 0.2
3 8.1 6.8 2.9 0.8 0.2
4 4.2 3.6 1.5 0.4 0.1
5 1.8 1.5 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.091
λ Away (xG) 0.844
Total xG 2.935
League avg home goals 1.469
League avg away goals 1.282
Manchester City attack strength 1.300
Manchester City defence strength 0.716
Fulham attack strength 0.919
Fulham defence strength 1.095
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63