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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Wed 13 May 2026

20:00

Venue

Etihad Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Manchester City Win

70%

Manchester City

1.44

20%

Draw

5.11

11%

Crystal Palace

9.17

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.31

Manchester City xG

Total xG

3.15

0.83

Crystal Palace xG

70%
20%
Manchester CityDrawCrystal Palace

1.44

70%

Home win

5.11

20%

Draw

9.17

11%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

43%

Manchester City

2.30

10%

Crystal Palace

10.08

Win to Nil

30%

Manchester City

3.31

1%

Crystal Palace

92.52

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.3 3.6 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 10.0 8.3 3.5 1.0 0.2
2 11.5 9.6 4.0 1.1 0.2
3 8.9 7.4 3.1 0.9 0.2
4 5.1 4.3 1.8 0.5 0.1
5 2.4 2.0 0.8 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.311
λ Away (xG) 0.834
Total xG 3.145
League avg home goals 1.453
League avg away goals 1.228
Manchester City attack strength 1.398
Manchester City defence strength 0.748
Crystal Palace attack strength 0.907
Crystal Palace defence strength 1.138
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 73 / 73