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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Sun 2 Nov 2025

16:30

Venue

Etihad Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Manchester City Win

62%

Manchester City

1.61

19%

Draw

5.31

19%

Bournemouth

5.21

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

7.9%

Draw

2 – 0

7.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.38

Manchester City xG

Total xG

3.65

1.27

Bournemouth xG

62%
19%
19%
Manchester CityDrawBournemouth

1.61

62%

Home win

5.31

19%

Draw

5.21

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

71%

Over 2.5

1.41

29%

Under 2.5

3.45

50%

Over 3.5

2.00

50%

Under 3.5

2.00

30%

Over 4.5

3.33

70%

Under 4.5

1.43

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.53

35%

BTTS No

2.88

Clean Sheet

28%

Manchester City

3.56

9%

Bournemouth

10.79

Win to Nil

17%

Manchester City

5.75

2%

Bournemouth

56.22

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.6 3.3 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
1 6.2 7.9 5.0 2.1 0.7 0.2
2 7.4 9.3 5.9 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 5.8 7.4 4.7 2.0 0.6 0.2
4 3.5 4.4 2.8 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 1.7 2.1 1.3 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.379
λ Away (xG) 1.271
Total xG 3.650
League avg home goals 1.503
League avg away goals 1.179
Manchester City attack strength 1.307
Manchester City defence strength 0.811
Bournemouth attack strength 1.329
Bournemouth defence strength 1.212
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 47 / 47