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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Tue 20 May 2025

20:00

Venue

Etihad Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Manchester City Win

48%

Manchester City

2.10

23%

Draw

4.42

30%

Bournemouth

3.36

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

1 – 0

7.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.84

Manchester City xG

Total xG

3.26

1.42

Bournemouth xG

48%
23%
30%
Manchester CityDrawBournemouth

2.10

48%

Home win

4.42

23%

Draw

3.36

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.57

36%

BTTS No

2.76

Clean Sheet

24%

Manchester City

4.14

16%

Bournemouth

6.32

Win to Nil

12%

Manchester City

8.69

5%

Bournemouth

21.21

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.8 5.4 3.9 1.8 0.6 0.2
1 7.1 10.0 7.1 3.4 1.2 0.3
2 6.5 9.2 6.6 3.1 1.1 0.3
3 4.0 5.7 4.0 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 1.8 2.6 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.843
λ Away (xG) 1.420
Total xG 3.263
League avg home goals 1.439
League avg away goals 1.371
Manchester City attack strength 1.316
Manchester City defence strength 0.870
Bournemouth attack strength 1.190
Bournemouth defence strength 0.973
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 74