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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Liverpool cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Newcastle.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Liverpool beat Newcastle 2-0 at Anfield, Regular Season - 27, in the Premier League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Liverpool 2.00 xG and Newcastle 1.28 xG, a combined 3.28. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Newcastle landed 1.3 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Liverpool attack 1.25 / defence 0.81 against Newcastle attack 1.03 / defence 1.07, drawn from 65/64 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Liverpool 54% | Draw 22% | Newcastle 24%, with Liverpool to win its most likely call at 54%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 64%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 84% and landed. Over 3.5 was 42% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 63% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 67% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Liverpool 66%, Newcastle 69%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 61%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Liverpool's trading profile (64 games, 31 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 62% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 33% of the time, and duly kept one.

Newcastle's trading profile (64 games, 31 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 59% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

On form, Liverpool arrived the stronger side — 2.27 PPG against 1.62. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Liverpool (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 0.87 average — tighter than their form line. Newcastle (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.87 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights