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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Wed 26 Feb 2025

20:15

Venue

Anfield

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Liverpool Win

54%

Liverpool

1.86

22%

Draw

4.60

24%

Newcastle

4.10

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.6%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

1 – 0

7.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.00

Liverpool xG

Total xG

3.28

1.28

Newcastle xG

54%
22%
24%
LiverpoolDrawNewcastle

1.86

54%

Home win

4.60

22%

Draw

4.10

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.60

37%

BTTS No

2.67

Clean Sheet

28%

Liverpool

3.61

14%

Newcastle

7.35

Win to Nil

15%

Liverpool

6.70

3%

Newcastle

30.16

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.8 4.8 3.1 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 7.5 9.6 6.2 2.7 0.9 0.2
2 7.5 9.6 6.2 2.6 0.8 0.2
3 5.0 6.4 4.1 1.8 0.6 0.1
4 2.5 3.2 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 1.0 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.995
λ Away (xG) 1.284
Total xG 3.279
League avg home goals 1.486
League avg away goals 1.536
Liverpool attack strength 1.254
Liverpool defence strength 0.809
Newcastle attack strength 1.033
Newcastle defence strength 1.070
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 64