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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Liverpool cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Fulham.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Liverpool beat Fulham 2-0 at Anfield, Regular Season - 32, in the Premier League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Liverpool 1.77 xG and Fulham 1.19 xG, a combined 2.95. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Fulham landed 1.2 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Liverpool attack 1.19 / defence 1.00 against Fulham attack 0.94 / defence 1.07, drawn from 69/69 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Liverpool 49% | Draw 27% | Fulham 24%, with Liverpool to win its most likely call at 49%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 57%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 81% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 59% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 60% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Liverpool 62%, Fulham 58%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 64%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Liverpool's trading profile (69 games, 34 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 62% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 33% of the time, and duly kept one.

Fulham's trading profile (69 games, 34 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 67% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

On form, Liverpool arrived the stronger side — 1.93 PPG against 1.42. Form held, and they took the win. Liverpool (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 0.97 average — tighter than their form line. Fulham (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.26 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights