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Liverpool vs Fulham – Predictions

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sat 14 Dec 2024

15:00

Venue

Anfield

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Liverpool Win

50%

Liverpool

2.00

30%

Draw

3.31

20%

Fulham

5.03

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

2 – 0

10.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.43

Liverpool xG

Total xG

2.24

0.81

Fulham xG

50%
30%
20%
LiverpoolDrawFulham

2.00

50%

Home win

3.31

30%

Draw

5.03

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.28

56%

BTTS No

1.78

Clean Sheet

44%

Liverpool

2.25

24%

Fulham

4.16

Win to Nil

22%

Liverpool

4.52

5%

Fulham

20.91

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.7 8.7 3.5 1.0 0.2
1 15.2 12.4 5.0 1.4 0.3
2 10.8 8.8 3.6 1.0 0.2
3 5.1 4.2 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 1.8 1.5 0.6 0.2
5 0.5 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.425
λ Away (xG) 0.813
Total xG 2.238
League avg home goals 1.651
League avg away goals 1.401
Liverpool attack strength 1.097
Liverpool defence strength 0.600
Fulham attack strength 0.967
Fulham defence strength 0.787
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 53