🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Liverpool Win
52%
1.91
24%
4.23
24%
4.16
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
9.7%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.6%
Home win
1 – 0
7.5%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.98
Liverpool xG
Total xG
3.28
1.30
Chelsea xG
LiverpoolDrawChelsea
1.91
52%
Home win
4.23
24%
Draw
4.16
24%
Away win
Goals Markets
84%
Over 1.5
1.19
16%
Under 1.5
6.25
64%
Over 2.5
1.56
36%
Under 2.5
2.78
42%
Over 3.5
2.38
58%
Under 3.5
1.72
23%
Over 4.5
4.35
77%
Under 4.5
1.30
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
64%
BTTS Yes
1.57
36%
BTTS No
2.75
Clean Sheet
27%
3.67
14%
7.24
Win to Nil
14%
7.00
3%
30.13
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.8 | 4.9 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 7.5 | 9.7 | 6.3 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.4 | 9.6 | 6.2 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 4.9 | 6.3 | 4.1 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.980
λ Away (xG)
1.299
Total xG
3.279
League avg home goals
1.459
League avg away goals
1.255
Liverpool attack strength
1.237
Liverpool defence strength
0.929
Chelsea attack strength
1.114
Chelsea defence strength
1.097
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
73 / 73