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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Fri 15 Aug 2025

20:00

Venue

Anfield

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Liverpool Win

48%

Liverpool

2.09

23%

Draw

4.32

29%

Bournemouth

3.44

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

1 – 0

7.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.78

Liverpool xG

Total xG

3.12

1.34

Bournemouth xG

48%
23%
29%
LiverpoolDrawBournemouth

2.09

48%

Home win

4.32

23%

Draw

3.44

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.63

39%

BTTS No

2.59

Clean Sheet

26%

Liverpool

3.83

17%

Bournemouth

5.94

Win to Nil

12%

Liverpool

8.03

5%

Bournemouth

20.42

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.4 5.9 4.0 1.8 0.6 0.2
1 7.8 10.5 7.1 3.2 1.1 0.3
2 7.0 9.4 6.3 2.8 0.9 0.3
3 4.1 5.6 3.7 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 1.8 2.5 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.781
λ Away (xG) 1.344
Total xG 3.125
League avg home goals 1.494
League avg away goals 1.371
Liverpool attack strength 1.177
Liverpool defence strength 0.911
Bournemouth attack strength 1.076
Bournemouth defence strength 1.013
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38