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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sat 4 Oct 2025

12:30

Venue

Elland Road

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Tottenham Win

26%

Leeds

3.80

28%

Draw

3.62

46%

Tottenham

2.17

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.8%

Away win

1 – 2

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.05

Leeds xG

Total xG

2.52

1.47

Tottenham xG

26%
28%
46%
LeedsDrawTottenham

3.80

26%

Home win

3.62

28%

Draw

2.17

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.97

49%

BTTS No

2.03

Clean Sheet

23%

Leeds

4.34

35%

Tottenham

2.86

Win to Nil

6%

Leeds

16.52

16%

Tottenham

6.21

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.1 11.8 8.7 4.3 1.6 0.5
1 8.5 12.4 9.1 4.5 1.6 0.5
2 4.4 6.5 4.8 2.3 0.9 0.3
3 1.6 2.3 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.050
λ Away (xG) 1.469
Total xG 2.519
League avg home goals 1.442
League avg away goals 1.221
Leeds attack strength 0.841
Leeds defence strength 0.987
Tottenham attack strength 1.218
Tottenham defence strength 0.866
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 6 / 44