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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sat 6 Dec 2025

17:30

Venue

Elland Road

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Leeds Win

42%

Leeds

2.36

24%

Draw

4.11

33%

Liverpool

3.01

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

1 – 0

8.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.58

Leeds xG

Total xG

2.96

1.38

Liverpool xG

42%
24%
33%
LeedsDrawLiverpool

2.36

42%

Home win

4.11

24%

Draw

3.01

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.68

41%

BTTS No

2.46

Clean Sheet

25%

Leeds

3.96

21%

Liverpool

4.86

Win to Nil

11%

Leeds

9.33

7%

Liverpool

14.62

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.2 7.1 4.9 2.3 0.8 0.2
1 8.2 11.3 7.8 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 6.5 8.9 6.1 2.8 1.0 0.3
3 3.4 4.7 3.2 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 1.4 1.9 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.582
λ Away (xG) 1.375
Total xG 2.957
League avg home goals 1.543
League avg away goals 1.253
Leeds attack strength 0.994
Leeds defence strength 1.027
Liverpool attack strength 1.069
Liverpool defence strength 1.032
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 14 / 52