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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sat 20 Dec 2025

20:00

Venue

Elland Road

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Crystal Palace Win

28%

Leeds

3.55

28%

Draw

3.64

44%

Crystal Palace

2.26

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.1%

Away win

1 – 2

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.12

Leeds xG

Total xG

2.58

1.46

Crystal Palace xG

28%
28%
44%
LeedsDrawCrystal Palace

3.55

28%

Home win

3.64

28%

Draw

2.26

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.90

47%

BTTS No

2.11

Clean Sheet

23%

Leeds

4.32

33%

Crystal Palace

3.06

Win to Nil

7%

Leeds

15.34

14%

Crystal Palace

6.91

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 11.1 8.1 4.0 1.4 0.4
1 8.5 12.4 9.1 4.4 1.6 0.5
2 4.7 6.9 5.1 2.5 0.9 0.3
3 1.8 2.6 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.119
λ Away (xG) 1.464
Total xG 2.583
League avg home goals 1.546
League avg away goals 1.298
Leeds attack strength 1.056
Leeds defence strength 1.137
Crystal Palace attack strength 0.992
Crystal Palace defence strength 0.685
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 16 / 54