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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sat 27 Sep 2025

15:00

Venue

Elland Road

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bournemouth Win

33%

Leeds

3.02

29%

Draw

3.40

37%

Bournemouth

2.67

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.1%

Away win

1 – 0

11.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.09

Leeds xG

Total xG

2.28

1.18

Bournemouth xG

33%
29%
37%
LeedsDrawBournemouth

3.02

33%

Home win

3.40

29%

Draw

2.67

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.15

53%

BTTS No

1.87

Clean Sheet

31%

Leeds

3.26

33%

Bournemouth

2.99

Win to Nil

10%

Leeds

9.84

13%

Bournemouth

7.98

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.3 12.1 7.2 2.8 0.8 0.2
1 11.2 13.3 7.8 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 6.2 7.3 4.3 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 2.2 2.6 1.6 0.6 0.2
4 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.2
5 0.1 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.094
λ Away (xG) 1.181
Total xG 2.275
League avg home goals 1.382
League avg away goals 1.168
Leeds attack strength 0.746
Leeds defence strength 0.895
Bournemouth attack strength 1.130
Bournemouth defence strength 1.061
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 5 / 43