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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sat 31 Jan 2026

15:00

Venue

Elland Road

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Arsenal Win

32%

Leeds

3.17

34%

Draw

2.95

34%

Arsenal

2.90

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.6%

Away win

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

Leeds xG

Total xG

2.48

1.27

Arsenal xG

32%
34%
34%
LeedsDrawArsenal

3.17

32%

Home win

2.95

34%

Draw

2.90

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.86

46%

BTTS No

2.17

Clean Sheet

28%

Leeds

3.56

30%

Arsenal

3.35

Win to Nil

9%

Leeds

11.28

10%

Arsenal

9.72

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.4 10.6 6.8 2.9 0.9 0.2
1 10.1 12.9 8.2 3.5 1.1 0.3
2 6.1 7.8 4.9 2.1 0.7 0.2
3 2.5 3.1 2.0 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.209
λ Away (xG) 1.270
Total xG 2.479
League avg home goals 1.469
League avg away goals 1.234
Leeds attack strength 1.100
Leeds defence strength 1.000
Arsenal attack strength 1.029
Arsenal defence strength 0.748
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 23 / 61