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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Mon 30 Dec 2024

19:45

Venue

Portman Road

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Chelsea Win

8%

Ipswich

12.00

19%

Draw

5.32

73%

Chelsea

1.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 2

12.1%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 1

9.9%

Away win

0 – 3

9.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.76

Ipswich xG

Total xG

3.20

2.44

Chelsea xG

19%
73%
IpswichDrawChelsea

12.00

8%

Home win

5.32

19%

Draw

1.37

73%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.00

50%

BTTS No

2.00

Clean Sheet

9%

Ipswich

11.45

47%

Chelsea

2.14

Win to Nil

1%

Ipswich

137.46

34%

Chelsea

2.94

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.1 9.9 12.1 9.8 6.0 2.9
1 3.1 7.6 9.2 7.5 4.6 2.2
2 1.2 2.9 3.5 2.9 1.7 0.9
3 0.3 0.7 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.2
4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.763
λ Away (xG) 2.438
Total xG 3.201
League avg home goals 1.479
League avg away goals 1.484
Ipswich attack strength 0.565
Ipswich defence strength 1.252
Chelsea attack strength 1.312
Chelsea defence strength 0.914
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 18 / 56