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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Sun 25 May 2025

16:00

Venue

Craven Cottage

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Manchester City Win

30%

Fulham

3.29

26%

Draw

3.79

43%

Manchester City

2.31

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.0%

Away win

1 – 0

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.14

Fulham xG

Total xG

2.55

1.41

Manchester City xG

30%
26%
43%
FulhamDrawManchester City

3.29

30%

Home win

3.79

26%

Draw

2.31

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.94

49%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

24%

Fulham

4.10

32%

Manchester City

3.13

Win to Nil

7%

Fulham

13.50

14%

Manchester City

7.23

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8 11.0 7.8 3.7 1.3 0.4
1 8.9 12.5 8.9 4.2 1.5 0.4
2 5.1 7.1 5.0 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 1.9 2.7 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.140
λ Away (xG) 1.412
Total xG 2.552
League avg home goals 1.466
League avg away goals 1.374
Fulham attack strength 0.977
Fulham defence strength 1.162
Manchester City attack strength 0.885
Manchester City defence strength 0.796
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 75 / 75