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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sat 13 Sep 2025

15:00

Venue

Craven Cottage

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fulham Win

62%

Fulham

1.62

21%

Draw

4.77

17%

Leeds

5.82

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

10.4%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

10.4%

Home win

1 – 1

9.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.01

Fulham xG

Total xG

2.96

0.95

Leeds xG

62%
21%
17%
FulhamDrawLeeds

1.62

62%

Home win

4.77

21%

Draw

5.82

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.14

Clean Sheet

39%

Fulham

2.60

13%

Leeds

7.45

Win to Nil

24%

Fulham

4.20

2%

Leeds

43.33

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.2 4.9 2.4 0.7 0.2
1 10.4 9.9 4.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
2 10.4 9.9 4.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 7.0 6.7 3.2 1.0 0.2
4 3.5 3.3 1.6 0.5 0.1
5 1.4 1.3 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.008
λ Away (xG) 0.954
Total xG 2.962
League avg home goals 1.460
League avg away goals 1.229
Fulham attack strength 0.934
Fulham defence strength 1.047
Leeds attack strength 0.741
Leeds defence strength 1.473
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 3