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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sun 29 Dec 2024

15:00

Venue

Goodison Park

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Everton Win

42%

Everton

2.38

34%

Draw

2.97

24%

Nottingham Forest

4.11

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

0 – 0

11.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.26

Everton xG

Total xG

2.17

0.91

Nottingham Forest xG

42%
34%
24%
EvertonDrawNottingham Forest

2.38

42%

Home win

2.97

34%

Draw

4.11

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.22

55%

BTTS No

1.82

Clean Sheet

40%

Everton

2.48

28%

Nottingham Forest

3.52

Win to Nil

17%

Everton

5.89

7%

Nottingham Forest

14.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.5 10.4 4.7 1.4 0.3 0.1
1 14.4 13.1 5.9 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.1 8.2 3.7 1.1 0.3
3 3.8 3.5 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.259
λ Away (xG) 0.907
Total xG 2.166
League avg home goals 1.496
League avg away goals 1.458
Everton attack strength 0.877
Everton defence strength 0.632
Nottingham Forest attack strength 0.985
Nottingham Forest defence strength 0.959
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 56