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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sun 4 Jan 2026

15:00

Venue

Hill Dickinson Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Everton Win

44%

Everton

2.25

30%

Draw

3.33

26%

Brentford

3.90

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.6%

Home win

0 – 1

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.40

Everton xG

Total xG

2.41

1.01

Brentford xG

44%
30%
26%
EvertonDrawBrentford

2.25

44%

Home win

3.33

30%

Draw

3.90

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.02

51%

BTTS No

1.98

Clean Sheet

36%

Everton

2.74

25%

Brentford

4.06

Win to Nil

16%

Everton

6.18

6%

Brentford

15.83

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.0 9.1 4.6 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 12.6 12.7 6.4 2.2 0.5 0.1
2 8.8 8.9 4.5 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 4.1 4.1 2.1 0.7 0.2
4 1.4 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.400
λ Away (xG) 1.009
Total xG 2.409
League avg home goals 1.498
League avg away goals 1.235
Everton attack strength 0.908
Everton defence strength 1.005
Brentford attack strength 0.813
Brentford defence strength 1.029
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57