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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sat 20 Dec 2025

20:00

Venue

Hill Dickinson Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Arsenal Win

31%

Everton

3.20

28%

Draw

3.57

41%

Arsenal

2.46

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.7%

Away win

1 – 0

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.18

Everton xG

Total xG

2.55

1.38

Arsenal xG

31%
28%
41%
EvertonDrawArsenal

3.20

31%

Home win

3.57

28%

Draw

2.46

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.10

Clean Sheet

25%

Everton

3.96

31%

Arsenal

3.24

Win to Nil

8%

Everton

12.65

13%

Arsenal

7.97

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8 10.7 7.4 3.4 1.2 0.3
1 9.2 12.6 8.7 4.0 1.4 0.4
2 5.4 7.4 5.1 2.3 0.8 0.2
3 2.1 2.9 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.176
λ Away (xG) 1.375
Total xG 2.551
League avg home goals 1.546
League avg away goals 1.298
Everton attack strength 0.979
Everton defence strength 1.010
Arsenal attack strength 1.049
Arsenal defence strength 0.777
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54