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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sat 5 Apr 2025

12:30

Venue

Goodison Park

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Arsenal Win

29%

Everton

3.40

27%

Draw

3.70

44%

Arsenal

2.30

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.0%

Away win

1 – 0

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.07

Everton xG

Total xG

2.44

1.36

Arsenal xG

29%
27%
44%
EvertonDrawArsenal

3.40

29%

Home win

3.70

27%

Draw

2.30

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.04

51%

BTTS No

1.96

Clean Sheet

26%

Everton

3.92

34%

Arsenal

2.92

Win to Nil

8%

Everton

13.32

15%

Arsenal

6.70

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.8 12.0 8.2 3.7 1.3 0.3
1 9.4 12.8 8.7 4.0 1.4 0.4
2 5.0 6.8 4.7 2.1 0.7 0.2
3 1.8 2.4 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.070
λ Away (xG) 1.365
Total xG 2.435
League avg home goals 1.412
League avg away goals 1.446
Everton attack strength 1.058
Everton defence strength 0.885
Arsenal attack strength 1.066
Arsenal defence strength 0.716
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 68