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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sun 14 Dec 2025

14:00

Venue

Selhurst Park

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Manchester City Win

34%

Crystal Palace

2.98

25%

Draw

3.95

41%

Manchester City

2.43

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

8.8%

Away win

1 – 2

8.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.34

Crystal Palace xG

Total xG

2.85

1.51

Manchester City xG

34%
25%
41%
Crystal PalaceDrawManchester City

2.98

34%

Home win

3.95

25%

Draw

2.43

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.74

42%

BTTS No

2.36

Clean Sheet

22%

Crystal Palace

4.52

26%

Manchester City

3.81

Win to Nil

7%

Crystal Palace

13.49

11%

Manchester City

9.25

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8 8.8 6.6 3.3 1.3 0.4
1 7.8 11.7 8.8 4.4 1.7 0.5
2 5.2 7.8 5.9 3.0 1.1 0.3
3 2.3 3.5 2.6 1.3 0.5 0.2
4 0.8 1.2 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.338
λ Away (xG) 1.509
Total xG 2.847
League avg home goals 1.564
League avg away goals 1.284
Crystal Palace attack strength 0.871
Crystal Palace defence strength 0.926
Manchester City attack strength 1.268
Manchester City defence strength 0.982
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53