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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Chelsea Win
23%
4.42
36%
2.75
41%
2.44
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
15.6%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
13.1%
Draw
0 – 0
13.0%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.84
Crystal Palace xG
Total xG
2.04
1.20
Chelsea xG
Crystal PalaceDrawChelsea
4.42
23%
Home win
2.75
36%
Draw
2.44
41%
Away win
Goals Markets
60%
Over 1.5
1.67
40%
Under 1.5
2.50
33%
Over 2.5
3.03
67%
Under 2.5
1.49
15%
Over 3.5
6.67
85%
Under 3.5
1.18
6%
Over 4.5
16.67
94%
Under 4.5
1.06
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
43%
BTTS Yes
2.32
57%
BTTS No
1.76
Clean Sheet
30%
3.32
43%
2.32
Win to Nil
7%
14.67
18%
5.66
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.0 | 15.6 | 9.3 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 10.9 | 13.1 | 7.9 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 4.6 | 5.5 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | – | 0.1 | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.842
λ Away (xG)
1.199
Total xG
2.041
League avg home goals
1.499
League avg away goals
1.201
Crystal Palace attack strength
0.669
Crystal Palace defence strength
0.924
Chelsea attack strength
1.080
Chelsea defence strength
0.840
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
60 / 60