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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Chelsea Win
25%
4.03
26%
3.86
49%
2.03
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
9.9%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 2
9.5%
Away win
0 – 1
7.4%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.33
Crystal Palace xG
Total xG
3.25
1.92
Chelsea xG
Crystal PalaceDrawChelsea
4.03
25%
Home win
3.86
26%
Draw
2.03
49%
Away win
Goals Markets
84%
Over 1.5
1.19
16%
Under 1.5
6.25
63%
Over 2.5
1.59
37%
Under 2.5
2.70
41%
Over 3.5
2.44
59%
Under 3.5
1.69
23%
Over 4.5
4.35
77%
Under 4.5
1.30
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
65%
BTTS Yes
1.55
35%
BTTS No
2.83
Clean Sheet
15%
6.81
26%
3.80
Win to Nil
4%
27.47
13%
7.70
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.9 | 7.4 | 7.1 | 4.6 | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 | 5.2 | 9.9 | 9.5 | 6.1 | 2.9 | 1.1 |
| 2 | 3.4 | 6.6 | 6.3 | 4.1 | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| 3 | 1.5 | 2.9 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.334
λ Away (xG)
1.919
Total xG
3.253
League avg home goals
1.467
League avg away goals
1.477
Crystal Palace attack strength
0.902
Crystal Palace defence strength
1.110
Chelsea attack strength
1.171
Chelsea defence strength
1.009
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
57 / 57