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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sat 5 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

Selhurst Park

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Crystal Palace Win

39%

Crystal Palace

2.57

22%

Draw

4.45

39%

Brighton

2.59

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.5%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.2%

Home win

1 – 2

8.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.72

Crystal Palace xG

Total xG

3.44

1.72

Brighton xG

39%
22%
39%
Crystal PalaceDrawBrighton

2.57

39%

Home win

4.45

22%

Draw

2.59

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

45%

Over 3.5

2.22

55%

Under 3.5

1.82

26%

Over 4.5

3.85

74%

Under 4.5

1.35

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

67%

BTTS Yes

1.48

33%

BTTS No

3.07

Clean Sheet

18%

Crystal Palace

5.58

18%

Brighton

5.60

Win to Nil

7%

Crystal Palace

14.36

7%

Brighton

14.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.2 5.5 4.7 2.7 1.2 0.4
1 5.5 9.5 8.1 4.7 2.0 0.7
2 4.8 8.2 7.0 4.0 1.7 0.6
3 2.7 4.7 4.0 2.3 1.0 0.3
4 1.2 2.0 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.723
λ Away (xG) 1.719
Total xG 3.442
League avg home goals 1.412
League avg away goals 1.443
Crystal Palace attack strength 1.012
Crystal Palace defence strength 1.033
Brighton attack strength 1.152
Brighton defence strength 1.205
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 68