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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Tue 25 Feb 2025

19:30

Venue

Selhurst Park

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Crystal Palace Win

39%

Crystal Palace

2.56

25%

Draw

3.96

36%

Aston Villa

2.81

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

8.7%

Home win

2 – 1

8.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.44

Crystal Palace xG

Total xG

2.80

1.36

Aston Villa xG

39%
25%
36%
Crystal PalaceDrawAston Villa

2.56

39%

Home win

3.96

25%

Draw

2.81

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.31

Clean Sheet

26%

Crystal Palace

3.91

24%

Aston Villa

4.22

Win to Nil

10%

Crystal Palace

9.99

8%

Aston Villa

11.85

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.1 8.3 5.6 2.6 0.9 0.2
1 8.7 11.9 8.1 3.7 1.3 0.3
2 6.3 8.6 5.8 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 3.0 4.1 2.8 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.1 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.440
λ Away (xG) 1.363
Total xG 2.803
League avg home goals 1.470
League avg away goals 1.563
Crystal Palace attack strength 0.860
Crystal Palace defence strength 1.111
Aston Villa attack strength 0.785
Aston Villa defence strength 1.139
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 65