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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Arsenal Win
25%
4.02
31%
3.25
44%
2.26
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.6%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
12.2%
Away win
1 – 2
9.0%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.03
Crystal Palace xG
Total xG
2.46
1.44
Arsenal xG
Crystal PalaceDrawArsenal
4.02
25%
Home win
3.25
31%
Draw
2.26
44%
Away win
Goals Markets
71%
Over 1.5
1.41
29%
Under 1.5
3.45
45%
Over 2.5
2.22
55%
Under 2.5
1.82
23%
Over 3.5
4.35
77%
Under 3.5
1.30
10%
Over 4.5
10.00
90%
Under 4.5
1.11
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
51%
BTTS Yes
1.96
49%
BTTS No
2.04
Clean Sheet
24%
4.20
36%
2.80
Win to Nil
6%
16.90
16%
6.31
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.5 | 12.2 | 8.8 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 8.7 | 12.6 | 9.0 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 4.5 | 6.5 | 4.6 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.028
λ Away (xG)
1.436
Total xG
2.464
League avg home goals
1.596
League avg away goals
1.456
Crystal Palace attack strength
0.797
Crystal Palace defence strength
0.895
Arsenal attack strength
1.102
Arsenal defence strength
0.808
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
54 / 54