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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Mon 20 Jan 2025

20:00

Venue

Stamford Bridge

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Chelsea Win

58%

Chelsea

1.73

22%

Draw

4.47

20%

Wolves

5.07

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.1%

Draw

3 – 1

7.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.30

Chelsea xG

Total xG

3.62

1.32

Wolves xG

58%
22%
20%
ChelseaDrawWolves

1.73

58%

Home win

4.47

22%

Draw

5.07

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

70%

Over 2.5

1.43

30%

Under 2.5

3.33

49%

Over 3.5

2.04

51%

Under 3.5

1.96

30%

Over 4.5

3.33

70%

Under 4.5

1.43

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

67%

BTTS Yes

1.48

33%

BTTS No

3.07

Clean Sheet

27%

Chelsea

3.75

10%

Wolves

9.98

Win to Nil

15%

Chelsea

6.48

2%

Wolves

50.63

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.7 3.5 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 6.1 8.1 5.4 2.4 0.8 0.2
2 7.1 9.3 6.2 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 5.4 7.2 4.7 2.1 0.7 0.2
4 3.1 4.1 2.7 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 1.4 1.9 1.3 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.301
λ Away (xG) 1.323
Total xG 3.624
League avg home goals 1.448
League avg away goals 1.579
Chelsea attack strength 1.213
Chelsea defence strength 0.855
Wolves attack strength 0.980
Wolves defence strength 1.310
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59