Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Mon 3 Feb 2025

20:00

Venue

Stamford Bridge

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Chelsea Win

58%

Chelsea

1.72

23%

Draw

4.26

18%

West Ham

5.46

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

1 – 0

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.99

Chelsea xG

Total xG

3.04

1.05

West Ham xG

58%
23%
18%
ChelseaDrawWest Ham

1.72

58%

Home win

4.26

23%

Draw

5.46

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.75

43%

BTTS No

2.33

Clean Sheet

35%

Chelsea

2.85

14%

West Ham

7.31

Win to Nil

20%

Chelsea

4.90

3%

West Ham

39.87

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 5.0 2.6 0.9 0.2 0.1
1 9.6 10.0 5.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
2 9.5 9.9 5.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 6.3 6.6 3.5 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 3.1 3.3 1.7 0.6 0.2
5 1.2 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.989
λ Away (xG) 1.047
Total xG 3.036
League avg home goals 1.498
League avg away goals 1.548
Chelsea attack strength 1.209
Chelsea defence strength 0.858
West Ham attack strength 0.788
West Ham defence strength 1.098
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61