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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Tue 19 May 2026

20:15

Venue

Stamford Bridge

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Tottenham Win

29%

Chelsea

3.46

30%

Draw

3.34

41%

Tottenham

2.43

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.6%

Away win

1 – 0

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.10

Chelsea xG

Total xG

2.46

1.36

Tottenham xG

29%
30%
41%
ChelseaDrawTottenham

3.46

29%

Home win

3.34

30%

Draw

2.43

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.96

49%

BTTS No

2.04

Clean Sheet

26%

Chelsea

3.89

33%

Tottenham

3.01

Win to Nil

7%

Chelsea

13.47

14%

Tottenham

7.31

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.5 11.6 7.9 3.6 1.2 0.3
1 9.4 12.8 8.7 3.9 1.3 0.4
2 5.2 7.0 4.8 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 1.9 2.6 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.102
λ Away (xG) 1.359
Total xG 2.461
League avg home goals 1.465
League avg away goals 1.227
Chelsea attack strength 0.824
Chelsea defence strength 1.182
Tottenham attack strength 0.938
Tottenham defence strength 0.913
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 74