🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Chelsea Win
54%
1.85
29%
3.46
17%
5.86
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
18.1%
Home win
Most likely
0 – 0
13.1%
Draw
2 – 0
12.5%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.38
Chelsea xG
Total xG
2.03
0.65
Sunderland xG
ChelseaDrawSunderland
1.85
54%
Home win
3.46
29%
Draw
5.86
17%
Away win
Goals Markets
60%
Over 1.5
1.67
40%
Under 1.5
2.50
33%
Over 2.5
3.03
67%
Under 2.5
1.49
15%
Over 3.5
6.67
85%
Under 3.5
1.18
6%
Over 4.5
16.67
94%
Under 4.5
1.06
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
36%
BTTS Yes
2.75
64%
BTTS No
1.57
Clean Sheet
52%
1.92
25%
3.97
Win to Nil
28%
3.55
4%
23.28
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.1 | 8.5 | 2.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 18.1 | 11.8 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 0.1 | – |
| 2 | 12.5 | 8.1 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 5.7 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 0.3 | – | – |
| 4 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.379
λ Away (xG)
0.650
Total xG
2.029
League avg home goals
1.441
League avg away goals
1.189
Chelsea attack strength
0.985
Chelsea defence strength
0.923
Sunderland attack strength
0.593
Sunderland defence strength
0.972
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
46 / 8