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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Mon 4 May 2026

15:00

Venue

Stamford Bridge

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nottingham Forest Win

21%

Chelsea

4.66

25%

Draw

3.98

53%

Nottingham Forest

1.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.0%

Away win

1 – 2

9.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.09

Chelsea xG

Total xG

2.90

1.82

Nottingham Forest xG

21%
25%
53%
ChelseaDrawNottingham Forest

4.66

21%

Home win

3.98

25%

Draw

1.87

53%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.77

43%

BTTS No

2.30

Clean Sheet

16%

Chelsea

6.15

34%

Nottingham Forest

2.96

Win to Nil

3%

Chelsea

28.63

18%

Nottingham Forest

5.55

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 10.0 9.1 5.5 2.5 0.9
1 6.0 10.8 9.8 6.0 2.7 1.0
2 3.2 5.9 5.3 3.2 1.5 0.5
3 1.2 2.1 1.9 1.2 0.5 0.2
4 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.086
λ Away (xG) 1.816
Total xG 2.902
League avg home goals 1.445
League avg away goals 1.236
Chelsea attack strength 0.832
Chelsea defence strength 1.099
Nottingham Forest attack strength 1.337
Nottingham Forest defence strength 0.904
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 72