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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Chelsea Win
60%
1.67
25%
4.04
15%
6.48
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
9.9%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
9.6%
Home win
1 – 1
9.4%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.11
Chelsea xG
Total xG
3.14
1.03
Leeds xG
ChelseaDrawLeeds
1.67
60%
Home win
4.04
25%
Draw
6.48
15%
Away win
Goals Markets
82%
Over 1.5
1.22
18%
Under 1.5
5.56
61%
Over 2.5
1.64
39%
Under 2.5
2.56
38%
Over 3.5
2.63
62%
Under 3.5
1.61
21%
Over 4.5
4.76
79%
Under 4.5
1.27
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
59%
BTTS Yes
1.70
41%
BTTS No
2.42
Clean Sheet
36%
2.80
12%
8.22
Win to Nil
21%
4.68
2%
53.24
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.3 | 4.5 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 9.2 | 9.4 | 4.9 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.6 | 9.9 | 5.1 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.8 | 7.0 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 3.6 | 3.7 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – |
| 5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.106
λ Away (xG)
1.030
Total xG
3.136
League avg home goals
1.482
League avg away goals
1.277
Chelsea attack strength
1.166
Chelsea defence strength
0.938
Leeds attack strength
0.859
Leeds defence strength
1.219
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
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