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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Thu 26 Dec 2024

15:00

Venue

Stamford Bridge

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Chelsea Win

43%

Chelsea

2.31

30%

Draw

3.36

27%

Fulham

3.71

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.55

Chelsea xG

Total xG

2.74

1.19

Fulham xG

43%
30%
27%
ChelseaDrawFulham

2.31

43%

Home win

3.36

30%

Draw

3.71

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.75

43%

BTTS No

2.33

Clean Sheet

30%

Chelsea

3.28

21%

Fulham

4.70

Win to Nil

13%

Chelsea

7.59

6%

Fulham

17.47

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 7.7 4.6 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 10.0 11.9 7.1 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 7.8 9.2 5.5 2.2 0.6 0.2
3 4.0 4.8 2.8 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.5 1.8 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.548
λ Away (xG) 1.189
Total xG 2.737
League avg home goals 1.540
League avg away goals 1.518
Chelsea attack strength 1.168
Chelsea defence strength 0.799
Fulham attack strength 0.980
Fulham defence strength 0.860
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55