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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sat 13 Dec 2025

15:00

Venue

Stamford Bridge

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Chelsea Win

39%

Chelsea

2.59

30%

Draw

3.38

32%

Everton

3.15

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.8%

Home win

0 – 1

11.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.18

Chelsea xG

Total xG

2.21

1.04

Everton xG

39%
30%
32%
ChelseaDrawEverton

2.59

39%

Home win

3.38

30%

Draw

3.15

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.22

55%

BTTS No

1.82

Clean Sheet

35%

Chelsea

2.83

31%

Everton

3.24

Win to Nil

14%

Chelsea

7.32

10%

Everton

10.19

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.9 11.4 5.9 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 12.8 13.3 6.9 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 7.5 7.8 4.1 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 3.0 3.1 1.6 0.6 0.1
4 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.175
λ Away (xG) 1.039
Total xG 2.214
League avg home goals 1.545
League avg away goals 1.284
Chelsea attack strength 1.026
Chelsea defence strength 0.931
Everton attack strength 0.869
Everton defence strength 0.741
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53