🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Chelsea Win
63%
1.60
22%
4.58
16%
6.45
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
9.4%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
7.9%
Home win
1 – 1
7.8%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.41
Chelsea xG
Total xG
3.60
1.19
Burnley xG
ChelseaDrawBurnley
1.60
63%
Home win
4.58
22%
Draw
6.45
16%
Away win
Goals Markets
87%
Over 1.5
1.15
13%
Under 1.5
7.69
70%
Over 2.5
1.43
30%
Under 2.5
3.33
49%
Over 3.5
2.04
51%
Under 3.5
1.96
29%
Over 4.5
3.45
71%
Under 4.5
1.41
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
65%
BTTS Yes
1.54
35%
BTTS No
2.86
Clean Sheet
30%
3.28
9%
11.18
Win to Nil
19%
5.23
1%
72.07
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.7 | 3.2 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 6.6 | 7.8 | 4.6 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 7.9 | 9.4 | 5.6 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 6.4 | 7.6 | 4.5 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 3.9 | 4.6 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.414
λ Away (xG)
1.188
Total xG
3.602
League avg home goals
1.463
League avg away goals
1.274
Chelsea attack strength
1.164
Chelsea defence strength
1.010
Burnley attack strength
0.923
Burnley defence strength
1.418
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
64 / 26