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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Chelsea Win
59%
1.68
18%
5.41
22%
4.51
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
8.5%
Home win
Most likely
3 – 1
7.1%
Home win
1 – 1
6.8%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.52
Chelsea xG
Total xG
4.04
1.52
Bournemouth xG
ChelseaDrawBournemouth
1.68
59%
Home win
5.41
18%
Draw
4.51
22%
Away win
Goals Markets
91%
Over 1.5
1.10
9%
Under 1.5
11.11
77%
Over 2.5
1.30
23%
Under 2.5
4.35
57%
Over 3.5
1.75
43%
Under 3.5
2.33
38%
Over 4.5
2.63
62%
Under 4.5
1.61
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
72%
BTTS Yes
1.39
28%
BTTS No
3.54
Clean Sheet
22%
4.56
8%
12.39
Win to Nil
13%
7.69
2%
55.92
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 4.5 | 6.8 | 5.1 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 5.6 | 8.5 | 6.5 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 4.7 | 7.1 | 5.4 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 3.0 | 4.5 | 3.4 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 5 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.517
λ Away (xG)
1.518
Total xG
4.035
League avg home goals
1.512
League avg away goals
1.252
Chelsea attack strength
1.052
Chelsea defence strength
0.925
Bournemouth attack strength
1.310
Bournemouth defence strength
1.582
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
56 / 56