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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Chelsea Win
47%
2.15
24%
4.22
30%
3.37
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.9%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.3%
Home win
1 – 0
8.3%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.71
Chelsea xG
Total xG
3.02
1.32
Aston Villa xG
ChelseaDrawAston Villa
2.15
47%
Home win
4.22
24%
Draw
3.37
30%
Away win
Goals Markets
80%
Over 1.5
1.25
20%
Under 1.5
5.00
58%
Over 2.5
1.72
42%
Under 2.5
2.38
36%
Over 3.5
2.78
64%
Under 3.5
1.56
19%
Over 4.5
5.26
81%
Under 4.5
1.23
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
60%
BTTS Yes
1.67
40%
BTTS No
2.50
Clean Sheet
27%
3.74
18%
5.51
Win to Nil
12%
8.01
5%
18.55
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.9 | 6.4 | 4.2 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 8.3 | 10.9 | 7.2 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 7.1 | 9.3 | 6.1 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 4.0 | 5.3 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.706
λ Away (xG)
1.318
Total xG
3.024
League avg home goals
1.537
League avg away goals
1.250
Chelsea attack strength
1.098
Chelsea defence strength
0.870
Aston Villa attack strength
1.212
Aston Villa defence strength
1.011
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
55 / 55