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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sat 23 Aug 2025

15:00

Venue

Turf Moor

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Burnley Win

39%

Burnley

2.55

26%

Draw

3.85

35%

Sunderland

2.88

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.3%

Home win

0 – 1

8.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.41

Burnley xG

Total xG

2.71

1.31

Sunderland xG

39%
26%
35%
BurnleyDrawSunderland

2.55

39%

Home win

3.85

26%

Draw

2.88

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.23

Clean Sheet

27%

Burnley

3.69

25%

Sunderland

4.08

Win to Nil

11%

Burnley

9.40

9%

Sunderland

11.73

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.6 8.7 5.7 2.5 0.8 0.2
1 9.3 12.2 8.0 3.5 1.1 0.3
2 6.6 8.6 5.6 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 3.1 4.0 2.6 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 1.1 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.405
λ Away (xG) 1.306
Total xG 2.711
League avg home goals 1.419
League avg away goals 1.336
Burnley attack strength 0.861
Burnley defence strength 1.150
Sunderland attack strength 0.850
Sunderland defence strength 1.150
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 1 / 1