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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Wed 3 Dec 2025

19:30

Venue

Turf Moor

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Crystal Palace Win

21%

Burnley

4.70

28%

Draw

3.54

50%

Crystal Palace

1.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

16.4%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

0 – 0

12.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.76

Burnley xG

Total xG

2.10

1.34

Crystal Palace xG

21%
28%
50%
BurnleyDrawCrystal Palace

4.70

21%

Home win

3.54

28%

Draw

1.98

50%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.54

61%

BTTS No

1.65

Clean Sheet

26%

Burnley

3.82

47%

Crystal Palace

2.14

Win to Nil

6%

Burnley

17.97

24%

Crystal Palace

4.25

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.2 16.4 11.0 4.9 1.6 0.4
1 9.3 12.5 8.4 3.7 1.3 0.3
2 3.6 4.8 3.2 1.4 0.5 0.1
3 0.9 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.1
4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.763
λ Away (xG) 1.341
Total xG 2.104
League avg home goals 1.524
League avg away goals 1.288
Burnley attack strength 0.670
Burnley defence strength 1.040
Crystal Palace attack strength 1.001
Crystal Palace defence strength 0.747
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 13 / 51