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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Chelsea Win
22%
4.61
27%
3.70
51%
1.95
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
14.2%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.3%
Draw
0 – 2
10.5%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.86
Burnley xG
Total xG
2.35
1.48
Chelsea xG
BurnleyDrawChelsea
4.61
22%
Home win
3.70
27%
Draw
1.95
51%
Away win
Goals Markets
68%
Over 1.5
1.47
32%
Under 1.5
3.12
42%
Over 2.5
2.38
58%
Under 2.5
1.72
21%
Over 3.5
4.76
79%
Under 3.5
1.27
9%
Over 4.5
11.11
91%
Under 4.5
1.10
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
45%
BTTS Yes
2.22
55%
BTTS No
1.82
Clean Sheet
23%
4.40
42%
2.38
Win to Nil
5%
20.29
22%
4.63
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.6 | 14.2 | 10.5 | 5.2 | 1.9 | 0.6 |
| 1 | 8.3 | 12.3 | 9.1 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 3.6 | 5.3 | 3.9 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | – | 0.1 | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.865
λ Away (xG)
1.481
Total xG
2.346
League avg home goals
1.577
League avg away goals
1.139
Burnley attack strength
0.711
Burnley defence strength
1.035
Chelsea attack strength
1.255
Chelsea defence strength
0.771
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
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