Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sat 21 Mar 2026

12:30

Venue

Amex Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Brighton Win

37%

Brighton

2.69

31%

Draw

3.21

32%

Liverpool

3.15

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.8%

Home win

0 – 1

9.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.30

Brighton xG

Total xG

2.49

1.19

Liverpool xG

37%
31%
32%
BrightonDrawLiverpool

2.69

37%

Home win

3.21

31%

Draw

3.15

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.90

47%

BTTS No

2.11

Clean Sheet

30%

Brighton

3.28

27%

Liverpool

3.67

Win to Nil

11%

Brighton

8.84

9%

Liverpool

11.57

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.3 9.9 5.9 2.3 0.7 0.2
1 10.8 12.8 7.6 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 7.0 8.3 5.0 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 3.0 3.6 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.0 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.301
λ Away (xG) 1.188
Total xG 2.489
League avg home goals 1.378
League avg away goals 1.269
Brighton attack strength 0.919
Brighton defence strength 0.893
Liverpool attack strength 1.049
Liverpool defence strength 1.028
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 68