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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Brighton Win
67%
1.49
18%
5.41
14%
6.98
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 0
10.3%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 1
9.8%
Home win
1 – 0
9.0%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.27
Brighton xG
Total xG
3.23
0.95
Leeds xG
BrightonDrawLeeds
1.49
67%
Home win
5.41
18%
Draw
6.98
14%
Away win
Goals Markets
83%
Over 1.5
1.20
17%
Under 1.5
5.88
63%
Over 2.5
1.59
37%
Under 2.5
2.70
40%
Over 3.5
2.50
60%
Under 3.5
1.67
22%
Over 4.5
4.55
78%
Under 4.5
1.28
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
55%
BTTS Yes
1.82
45%
BTTS No
2.22
Clean Sheet
39%
2.59
10%
9.73
Win to Nil
26%
3.85
1%
67.88
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.0 | 3.8 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 9.0 | 8.6 | 4.1 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.3 | 9.8 | 4.6 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 7.8 | 7.4 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 4.4 | 4.2 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – |
| 5 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.275
λ Away (xG)
0.951
Total xG
3.226
League avg home goals
1.457
League avg away goals
1.220
Brighton attack strength
1.190
Brighton defence strength
1.036
Leeds attack strength
0.753
Leeds defence strength
1.312
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
47 / 9